Reviewed & approved by Dr. Nova Reyes · Last checked 2026-10-15. ← Back to Evidence Library

Semaglutide: what the evidence says

At a glance

What it is: a lab-made copy of GLP-1, a gut hormone that lowers blood sugar and appetite. It is an FDA-approved prescription drug sold as Ozempic (weekly injection and tablets, type 2 diabetes), Rybelsus (daily tablet, type 2 diabetes) and Wegovy (weekly injection and daily tablet, weight management and heart-risk reduction). It is also sold as compounded vials (prepared by pharmacies as custom medicines for individual patients, with a prescription). It is sold on the gray market (outside regulated channels) too, as vials you mix and draw up yourself. R7

What the evidence says: strong for its approved uses, from large randomized trials. R2

Biggest risks: dosing mistakes with vials and insulin syringes, which have sent people to the hospital. Also stomach side effects, pancreatitis (inflammation of the pancreas), gallbladder disease, and a boxed warning (the FDA's strongest label warning) about thyroid C-cell tumors seen in rodents. R4, R9

Rating
Human Human evidence (diabetes, weight, heart risk) Strong: multiple large RCTs, including 17,604 people in SELECT R2
Animal Animal evidence Not rated here; key finding is rodent thyroid C-cell tumors (basis of the boxed warning) R4
Regulatory FDA-approved (Ozempic, Rybelsus, Wegovy) · not named on WADA's 2026 list · FDA shortage over; copies of approved products generally can no longer be compounded R7, R8, R10
Established human dose Only for approved uses, under prescription: see the FDA labels in R7. Gray-market and compounded vials have no standard concentration

Evidence verdict: Human (diabetes, weight, heart risk): Strong · Animal: not rated here Card verdict: Strong (weight loss, type 2 diabetes, MASH, heart & kidney protection; FDA-approved as Ozempic, Wegovy & Rybelsus)

This page reports what studies and the approved labels used. It is not dosing advice.

Legend: HUMAN data · ANIMAL / LAB data · UNKNOWN · UNVERIFIED: not yet confirmed against a primary source


What is it?

Semaglutide is a GLP-1 receptor agonist, meaning it switches on the same receptors as the GLP-1 hormone. It acts like a gut hormone that tells the pancreas to release insulin after meals. It also slows the stomach and reduces appetite. It is taken once a week by injection or once a day as a tablet. R7

The FDA has approved it for: R7 - Ozempic (injection): blood-sugar control in adults with type 2 diabetes; lowering the risk of heart attack, stroke and heart death in adults with type 2 diabetes and heart disease; and lowering the risk of kidney decline and heart death in adults with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. - Rybelsus / Ozempic tablets: blood-sugar control in adults with type 2 diabetes, and lowering heart risk in those at high risk. - Wegovy (injection and tablets): long-term weight management in adults (and, for the injection, teens 12+ with obesity); lowering heart risk in adults with heart disease and obesity or overweight. The injection is also approved for a type of fatty-liver disease (MASH) with moderate to advanced scarring. This is an accelerated approval: approved early, based on a promising early result, with confirmation trials still required.

Does it work?

Human Weight: in STEP 1, adults with obesity or overweight (without diabetes) on semaglutide (study arm in the study table) lost about 14.9% of body weight over 68 weeks, vs 2.4% on placebo. R2

Human Heart risk: in SUSTAIN-6 (type 2 diabetes), heart attack, stroke or heart death happened in 6.6% on semaglutide vs 8.9% on placebo (a dummy treatment). In SELECT (heart disease and overweight, no diabetes), it was 6.5% vs 8.0%. The tablet form (PIONEER 6) was shown to be at least as safe for the heart as placebo. R2

Is it safe?

Its safety profile is well studied for the approved products, used as labeled. The FDA labels warn about: R4 - Caution Boxed warning, thyroid C-cell tumors: semaglutide caused thyroid C-cell tumors in rodents. Whether it does in people is unknown. Don't use it with a personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) or MEN 2. Watch for a neck lump, trouble swallowing, shortness of breath or lasting hoarseness. - Caution Pancreatitis: seen with GLP-1 drugs including semaglutide. Severe stomach pain, sometimes spreading to the back, with or without vomiting, needs urgent care. - Caution Gallbladder disease: gallstones and gallbladder problems happened in trials. - Caution Also on the label: low blood sugar (mainly with insulin or sulfonylureas), kidney injury from dehydration, severe stomach side effects, and others. Human In SUSTAIN-6, diabetic eye (retinopathy) complications were more common on semaglutide. R2, R4 - Caution More people on semaglutide than on placebo stopped early because of side effects: 16.6% vs 8.2% in SELECT (PMID 37952131). R2

Compounded and gray-market semaglutide: extra risks

This is where people are getting hurt right now: FDA has received 990 adverse event reports for compounded semaglutide and has issued alerts about dosing errors. R9, R10

How unit mix-ups cause overdoses

1. "Units" are not mg. On an insulin syringe, "units" are marks for volume, not for the amount of drug. How much drug a unit holds depends entirely on how concentrated the vial is. R9

2. Mix-ups cause overdoses. FDA describes patients who drew up many times the intended amount, and prescribers who made errors converting mg into units. R9

3. Concentration isn't standard. Compounded and gray-market vials come in different strengths, and some are mixed by the user. The same mark on the syringe can deliver very different amounts of drug depending on the vial.

4. A long half-life makes mistakes last. Semaglutide lasts about a week in the body, so an overdose can need long observation and treatment. R9

What protects people (from FDA's alert): dose instructions written in mg, with the exact vial concentration and syringe type, and checked with the prescriber or pharmacist. Approved pens are dosed in mg with standard concentrations. R9

What we don't know

Is it legal?

FDA-approved as a prescription drug for the uses above. Compounded versions are not FDA-approved. FDA declared the semaglutide injection shortage resolved on Feb 21, 2025. Its grace periods for compounding copies have ended. In April 2026, FDA also proposed removing semaglutide from the list that outsourcing facilities (large-scale compounders) can compound from. Semaglutide is not named on WADA's 2026 Prohibited List. As of Oct 15, 2026. R7, R8, R10

What's in the vial?

Pharmacy-dispensed Ozempic, Wegovy and Rybelsus are made under FDA oversight. Gray-market "semaglutide" is not. FDA warns that counterfeit versions could contain the wrong ingredients, too little, too much or no active ingredient, or other harmful ingredients, and that salt forms are being sold. In a small study, all 3 semaglutide vials bought from illegal online pharmacies held far more drug than labeled (about 29%–39% over), had low purity, and contained bacterial toxins (endotoxin). R10, R11 Under the Open Peptide Standard, a GLP-1 vial overfilled by more than 20% is a critical fail (draft threshold). See results at /tests/. A passing test covers one batch, tested on one date. It does not mean the compound itself is safe.

What do users report?

Self-report, not evidence.

Unknown TBD. We'll only list this once we can cite a public source.

Study details
R2 Human Human studies

All four trials were funded by Novo Nordisk, the maker.

Study People Route Dose used Follow-up Reported Limitations Citation
STEP 1 (Wilding 2021), obesity/overweight without diabetes 1,961 (randomized 2:1) Subcutaneous 2.4 mg weekly + lifestyle 68 wk Weight −14.9% vs −2.4%; GI-related stopping 4.5% vs 0.8% Sponsor-funded PMID 33567185
SUSTAIN-6 (Marso 2016), T2D high CV risk 3,297 Subcutaneous 0.5 or 1.0 mg weekly 104 wk MACE 6.6% vs 8.9% (HR 0.74); retinopathy complications higher (HR 1.76) Designed for non-inferiority PMID 27633186
SELECT (Lincoff 2023), CV disease + overweight, no diabetes 17,604 Subcutaneous 2.4 mg weekly Mean follow-up 39.8 mo (mean exposure 34.2 mo) MACE 6.5% vs 8.0% (HR 0.80); stopping 16.6% vs 8.2% Sponsor-funded PMID 37952131
PIONEER 6 (Husain 2019), T2D high CV risk 3,183 Oral Once daily; Caution dose not in abstract [UNVERIFIED: 14 mg target] Median 15.9 mo MACE 3.8% vs 4.8% (HR 0.79, non-inferior; superiority not shown) Non-inferiority design PMID 31185157
R4, R7 Label and regulatory (as of Oct 15, 2026)
  • Dosing: approved dosing for Ozempic, Rybelsus and Wegovy is set by each prescribing label; see the labels: Ozempic, Rybelsus, Wegovy (DailyMed). Rybelsus and Ozempic tablets are not interchangeable (label).
  • R4 Boxed warning: risk of thyroid C-cell tumors; contraindicated with personal/family history of MTC or MEN 2. Warnings: acute pancreatitis ("Discontinue if pancreatitis is suspected"), acute gallbladder disease, hypoglycemia, acute kidney injury, severe GI reactions (all three labels above).
R9, R10 FDA compounding notices
  • R9 FDA alerts health care providers, compounders and patients of dosing errors associated with compounded injectable semaglutide products (content current as of Jul 26, 2024).
  • R10 FDA's concerns with unapproved GLP-1 drugs used for weight loss (content current as of Oct 1, 2026): salt forms; doses beyond the label; 990 compounded-semaglutide adverse event reports as of May 31, 2026.
  • R10 Shortage and compounding: "[2/21/2025] FDA has determined the shortage of semaglutide injection products... is resolved." For 503A pharmacies, "the period of enforcement discretion... has ended" (503A grace period ran to Apr 22, 2025; 503B to May 22, 2025) (FDA statement, content current as of Apr 1, 2026). On Apr 30, 2026 FDA proposed excluding semaglutide from the 503B bulks list, with comments due Jun 29, 2026 (FDA press release), later extended to Jul 30, 2026 (Federal Register). UNVERIFIED Whether FDA has finalized the 503B exclusion: no final notice found.
  • R10 Counterfeits: FDA warns that counterfeit products "could contain the wrong ingredients, contain too little, too much or no active ingredient at all or other harmful ingredients."
  • R11 Online-purchase testing (semaglutide): Ashraf AR, et al. J Med Internet Res. 2024;26:e65440. doi:10.2196/65440. PMID 39509151. Three vials bought from illegal online pharmacies: semaglutide content 28.56%–38.69% above label; purity 7.7%–14.37% vs 99% claimed; no peptide-like impurities identified; no viable microbes; endotoxin detected in all samples (2.1645–8.9511 EU/mg). Very small sample (3 vials). Heavy metals: not reported in the abstract.
  • R8 WADA: semaglutide is not named on the 2026 Prohibited List (checked against the official PDF). As an approved medicine it is not covered by S0 (non-approved substances). Unknown Not checked: WADA's 2026 Monitoring Program and the 2027 list.
Full reference list (all verified on PubMed, Oct 15, 2026)
  • Wilding JPH, et al. N Engl J Med. 2021;384(11):989-1002. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2032183. PMID 33567185
  • Marso SP, et al. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(19):1834-1844. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1607141. PMID 27633186
  • Lincoff AM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2023;389(24):2221-2232. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2307563. PMID 37952131
  • Ashraf AR, et al. J Med Internet Res. 2024;26:e65440. doi:10.2196/65440. PMID 39509151
  • Husain M, et al. N Engl J Med. 2019;381(9):841-851. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1901118. PMID 31185157

Disclaimer

This page is for education and harm reduction. It is not medical advice and not a recommendation to use semaglutide outside a prescription. Please talk to a clinician you trust, especially if you have a personal or family history of thyroid cancer or MEN 2, have had pancreatitis or gallbladder disease, have diabetic eye disease, take insulin, or are pregnant. Seek care right away for severe stomach pain or repeated vomiting, and report problems to FDA MedWatch (https://www.fda.gov/safety/medwatch).